Sunday, December 13, 2015
Friday, December 4, 2015
New Automated Signal
This is my bread and butter trade, and I finally automated generated a signal for it.
I automated an hourly VXX signal. 10 for the last 11 buying puts and calls. Buy 10 calls on the buy, buying 30-50 puts on the sell. I buy just outside the money, and always at least one week out and no more than two.
Another winner this morning. http://bobsstocksignals.blogspot.com/ sign up on the right.
Comes automatically to your phone via Twitter. Computer genrated signal
I automated an hourly VXX signal. 10 for the last 11 buying puts and calls. Buy 10 calls on the buy, buying 30-50 puts on the sell. I buy just outside the money, and always at least one week out and no more than two.
Another winner this morning. http://bobsstocksignals.blogspot.com/ sign up on the right.
Comes automatically to your phone via Twitter. Computer genrated signal
Thursday, December 3, 2015
Recap and Morning Update
We went in to yesterday short NADEX, GLD and Volatility. All three trades paid off for us. Then we bought NADEX below the S1, and that trade was stopped out for a loss as the market sank into the close. Likely due to the shooting news.
But the market gave me a clue that I ignored. When the market is in a downtrend, and you get a counter move from 1 to 1:30 that is moving higher, 1:30 usually will market the highs for the rest of the day. I should have closed my NADEX long at that point and waited for a higher high.
But the end of the day afforded me an opportunity to short vol again with VXX puts which I did at 18.62 area, which are likely to pay off nicely this morning.
For today, because of the news today and tomorrow, I am unsure of direction, but premarket suggests a green day. I bought NADEX 2075 for $70 yesterday (I did not post it as it was too speculative to share). I will let the market open and let the market commit before I add anymore to NADEX.
For other trades everything looks like a mixed bag so nothing jumps out at me. Starting tomorrow and for at least the next week, the market is seasonally weak, so will watch for some short set ups, and TVIX to purchase.
But the market gave me a clue that I ignored. When the market is in a downtrend, and you get a counter move from 1 to 1:30 that is moving higher, 1:30 usually will market the highs for the rest of the day. I should have closed my NADEX long at that point and waited for a higher high.
But the end of the day afforded me an opportunity to short vol again with VXX puts which I did at 18.62 area, which are likely to pay off nicely this morning.
For today, because of the news today and tomorrow, I am unsure of direction, but premarket suggests a green day. I bought NADEX 2075 for $70 yesterday (I did not post it as it was too speculative to share). I will let the market open and let the market commit before I add anymore to NADEX.
For other trades everything looks like a mixed bag so nothing jumps out at me. Starting tomorrow and for at least the next week, the market is seasonally weak, so will watch for some short set ups, and TVIX to purchase.
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
Morning Update
Going into the day I am short GLD with December Week 2 puts as there are two high probability short days on gold this week. The new COT week sell off on Wednesday morning, and the Thursday before NFP selloff. Plus there was a gap fill failure and an hourly sell signal. We'll see what today brings.
For ES I am flat, and won't do too much until Yellen does her speech. I think we hit the high for the week, and in fact the high until at least the 18th after today.
For XIV, back in long again. The gins have been small the last two weeks but gains nonetheless. My stop is now 30.84, locking in at least $.40 profit from my $30.44 entry yesterday. Remeber when you get a UVXY sell signal, you can buy puts on UVXY, and VXX, and calls on SVXY. You can also do credit spreads, and / or buy XIV or SVXY.
IWM is getting toppy and watching for a short trade there.
NADEX, I have a 2112 short on for end of the day, and will look to put a long trade on after the market opens.
For ES I am flat, and won't do too much until Yellen does her speech. I think we hit the high for the week, and in fact the high until at least the 18th after today.
For XIV, back in long again. The gins have been small the last two weeks but gains nonetheless. My stop is now 30.84, locking in at least $.40 profit from my $30.44 entry yesterday. Remeber when you get a UVXY sell signal, you can buy puts on UVXY, and VXX, and calls on SVXY. You can also do credit spreads, and / or buy XIV or SVXY.
IWM is getting toppy and watching for a short trade there.
NADEX, I have a 2112 short on for end of the day, and will look to put a long trade on after the market opens.
Tuesday, December 1, 2015
Daily Recap
I took a still with some notes, on the trades today. I posted everything live on my private Twitter feed and also some of these trades on www.slopeofhope.com, for free. I also recorded a video but can't it to upload.
If you want real time signals on ES, NADEX, and volatility you can sign up on the right. Only $12.50/month.
If you want real time signals on ES, NADEX, and volatility you can sign up on the right. Only $12.50/month.
Wednesday, November 25, 2015
Pre Turkey Day Update
On Tuesday our XIV trade was stopped out at break even due to the news event. The signal now is neutral, and statistically today and Friday are up days, so we may see another buy signal for the open.
Everything else is pretty flat, as well. So the volatility trade is the only one I am considering in the market.
For NADEX I will put on EOD and some two hourly trades though, as I expect a fairly narrow range.
Going into next week, statistically a weak week, but a positive month. The complication is the reaction to the FED meeting, and rates. It is going to keep me trading small, and quick.
Everything else is pretty flat, as well. So the volatility trade is the only one I am considering in the market.
For NADEX I will put on EOD and some two hourly trades though, as I expect a fairly narrow range.
Going into next week, statistically a weak week, but a positive month. The complication is the reaction to the FED meeting, and rates. It is going to keep me trading small, and quick.
Sunday, November 22, 2015
Weekend Update
The last three of the four years XIV traded during Thanksgiving week XIV is up. The only down week was the end of a down move in XIV which saw a 400% subsequent move higher. The VIX term structure looks bullish to go long XIV. When the structure is in contango, the XIV managers must sell vix contracts to keep a constant 30 days duration. That pushes XIV higher.
Here is a link that explains it well. http://www.vixstrategies.com/roll-yield-and-why-youre-thinking-about-it-wrong/
We currently have another short term buy on XIV from Friday at $29.14 with a current stop at $29.30, trailing $1.00.
Last week, we had two profitable trades in XIV, and am keeping the stops a bit tight this week, as well.
Our NADEX end of day trades all worked out for us, as well. The signal is getting pretty reliable.
Took a shot on a buy signal on GDX, but it went nowhere again. I may pass on going long gold and miner signals until we see the reaction from the Fed meeting.
Here is a link that explains it well. http://www.vixstrategies.com/roll-yield-and-why-youre-thinking-about-it-wrong/
We currently have another short term buy on XIV from Friday at $29.14 with a current stop at $29.30, trailing $1.00.
Last week, we had two profitable trades in XIV, and am keeping the stops a bit tight this week, as well.
Our NADEX end of day trades all worked out for us, as well. The signal is getting pretty reliable.
Took a shot on a buy signal on GDX, but it went nowhere again. I may pass on going long gold and miner signals until we see the reaction from the Fed meeting.
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